Simple Principles for Long Term Success


Before I let you in on little secrets of mine about successful investing, I would like to say at the outset that investing is an act of faith , a willingness to postpone present consumption and save for the future. And as we all know the future is full of uncertainties. The same principle also applies to investing; there are no such things as a “sure bet”. When we buy stocks and bonds, we are professing our faith in the long-term success of the economy and financial markets. When we invest in a mutual fund, we are expressing our faith that the professional fund managers will look after the asset we entrust to them. We are also recognizing the value of diversification by spreading our investments over a large number of stocks and bonds. A diversified portfolio of a mutual fund minimizes the risk inherent in owning a single stock. To be a successful investor one must be willing to take a calculated risk on uncertainties. For without risk there is no return.

This may be easier said than done, especially when so many of us have lost total faith in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). During the height of economic bubble in 1997, the SET index peaked out at 1,700 points and at the current level of 368 points, one can only guess how long it would take for the index to return to its former peak again. Several investors that bought into equity mutual funds, either knowingly or unknowingly, have also lost more than 70% of their original investment. Admittedly, the recent loss or should I say “set back” has dealt a major blow to our self confidence, faith in the financial markets and our pockets! But this is precisely the time when we must stick our long term plans and investing for the long term is central to the achievement of optimal returns by investors.

Although, most investors have yet to embrace the idea of long-term investing, but it is surprisingly easy to achieve. To put it simply, investing is like planting a tree. The process may take several years for shoots to develop and blossom before one can enjoy the fruits of one's labour. In addition, growth has its season. Yes even in a tropical country like Thailand ! There are winter, summer and rainy seasons. As long as the roots are not severed, all is well and all will be well. If one looks carefully, nature and economic cycles are very similar. The inevitable seasons of nature will bring good times and bad times, inflation and deflation, wars and peace, epidemic flues and famine. Despite the changing seasons, the Thai economy has survived and even rebounded from the blackest calamities such as the 1997 Baht crisis. So here are a few simple rules to rely on in order to make your investments survive and prosper in the long run:

  • Invest you must. The biggest risk of all is not taking enough risk. Money in the bank or under the mattress does not count as investing. One must allocate a sufficient amount of our savings for long term investing in the stocks and bond markets.
  • Time is your friend. Invest early and invest often. Begin to invest in your 20s, even if it's only a small amount and never stop. Even modest investments in tough times will help you sustain the pace and will become a good habit to get into. Compound interest and Dollar Cost Averaging technique will add further boost to your long term performance.
  • Impulse is your enemy. Eliminate emotion from your investment plan. Have rational expectations about future returns and avoid changing those expectations when seasons change.
  • Cost control. Keep your investment expenses under control. Your net return is simply the gross return of your investment portfolio minus the costs you incur i.e. brokerage commissions, advisory fees and management fees etc.
  • Stick to simplicity. Don't complicate the process. Basic investing is really very simple- a sensible asset allocation to stocks, bonds and cash reserves; a selection of mutual funds with solid long term track record; a careful balance of risk, return and cost.
  • Stay the course. No matter what happens, stick to your long term investment plan. This is probably the single most important investment wisdom of all. Invest for the long term.

The amazing effects of compound interest.

Somchai

Somsri

Difference

Start investing at age

18 Years

30 Years

13 Years

Initial investment amount

1,000 Baht/Year

2,000 Baht/Year

100%

Investment Period

(18-30 Years)

13 Years

(30-65 Years)

36 Years

3 Times

Principal amount

13,000 Baht

72,000 Baht

454 %

Investment amount at age 65

690,000 Baht

598,000 Baht

92,000 Baht

Return on investment *

5,207%

731%

4,476%